Chapter 6
Bonds and their Valuation
OVERVIEW
This chapter presents a discussion of the key characteristics of bonds, and then uses time value of money concepts to determine bond values. Bonds are one of the most important types of securities to investors, and are a major source of financing for corporations and governments.
The value of any financial asset is the present value of the cash flows expected from that asset. Therefore, once the cash flows have been estimated, and a discount rate determined, the value of the financial asset can be calculated.
A bond is valued as the present value of the stream of interest payments (an annuity) plus the present value of the par value, which is the principal amount for the bond, and is received by the investor on the bond’s maturity date. Depending on the relationship between the current interest rate and the bond’s coupon rate, a bond can sell at its par value, at a discount, or at a premium. The total rate of return on a bond is comprised of two components: interest yield and capital gains yield.
The bond valuation concepts developed earlier in the chapter are used to illustrate interest rate and reinvestment rate risk. In addition, default risk, various types of corporate bonds, bond ratings, and bond markets are discussed.
Outline
A bond is a long-term contract under which a borrower agrees to make payments of interest and principal, on specific dates, to the holders of the bond. There are four main types of bonds: Treasury, corporate, municipal, and foreign. Each type differs with respect to expected return and degree of risk.
Differences in contractual provisions, and in the underlying strength of the companies backing the bonds, lead to major differences in bonds’ risks, prices, and expected returns. It is important to understand both the key characteristics, which are common to all bonds, and how differences in these characteristics affect the values and risks of individual bonds.
The value of any financial asset is simply the present value of the cash flows the asset is expected to produce. The cash flows from a specific bond depend on its contractual features.
Bond value =
=
= .
VB =
= $150(5.8474) + $1,000(0.1229)
= $877.11 + $122.90
= $1,000.01 » $1,000.
The expected interest rate on a bond, also called its “yield,” can be calculated in three different ways.
The bond valuation model must be adjusted when interest is paid semiannually:
Interest rates fluctuate over time.
Another important risk associated with bonds is default risk. If the issuer defaults, investors receive less than the promised return on the bond. Default risk is affected by both the financial strength of the issuer and the terms of the bond contract, especially whether collateral has been pledged to secure the bond.
Corporate bonds are traded primarily in the over-the-counter market. Most bonds are owned by and traded among the large financial institutions, and it is relatively easy for the over-the-counter bond dealers to arrange the transfer of large blocks of bonds among the relatively few holders of the bonds.
SELF-TEST QUESTIONS
Definitional
1. A(n) ______ is a long‑term contract under which a borrower agrees to make payments of interest and principal on specific dates.
2. __________ bonds are issued by state and local governments, and the __________ earned on these bonds is exempt from federal taxes.
3. The stated face value of a bond is referred to as its _______ value and is usually set at $_______.
4. The “coupon interest rate” on a bond is determined by dividing the ________ _________ by the _____ _______ of the bond.
5. The date at which the par value of a bond is repaid to each bondholder is known as the __________ ______.
6. A(n) __________ ______, or _________, bond is one whose interest rate fluctuates with shifts in the general level of interest rates.
7. A(n) ______ ________ bond is one that pays no annual interest but is sold at a discount below par, thus providing compensation to investors in the form of capital appreciation.
8. The legal document setting forth the terms and conditions of a bond issue is known as the ___________.
9. In meeting its sinking fund requirements, a firm may ______ the bonds or purchase them on the ______ ________.
10. Except when the call is for sinking fund purposes, when a bond issue is called, the firm must pay a(n) ______ _________, which is an amount in excess of the _____ value of the bond.
11. A bond with annual coupon payments represents an annuity of INT dollars per year for N years, plus a lump sum of M dollars at the end of N years, and its value, VB, is the _________ _______ of this payment stream.
13. Market interest rates and bond prices move in __________ directions from one another.
14. The rate of return earned by purchasing a bond and holding it until maturity is known as the bond’s _______ ____ __________.
16. A bond secured by real estate is known as a(n) __________ bond.
17. __________ bonds are issued by the Federal government and are not exposed to default risk.
18. ________ bonds pay interest only if the interest is earned.
19. The interest rate of a(n) _________, or ____________ _______, bond is based on an inflation index, so the interest paid rises automatically when the inflation rate rises, thus protecting the bondholders against inflation.
20. Any bond originally offered at a price significantly below its par value is called a(n) __________ _______ __________ bond.
21. Once a bond has been on the market for a while, it is classified as an outstanding bond, or a(n) __________ _______.
22. The _________ _______ is the annual interest payment divided by the bond’s current price.
23. Bonds are often not callable until several years after they are issued. This is known as a(n) __________ ______, and the bonds are said to have ______ ____________.
24. To induce investors to take on the risk of a callable bond, a new issue of callable bonds must provide a(n) ________ interest rate than an otherwise similar issue of noncallable bonds.
25. __________ are options sold with bonds which permit the holder to buy stock for a stated price, thereby providing a capital gain if the stock price rises.
26. _______ risk is the risk that some sudden action, such as an LBO, will occur and increase the credit risk of the company, hence lower the firm’s bond rating and the value of its outstanding bonds.
27. To induce an investor to take on the extra risk of investing in long-term bonds, they must have a higher expected rate of return than short-term bonds. The additional return is the __________ ______ _________.
28. A(n) _________ is an official who represents the bondholders and makes sure the terms of the indenture are carried out.
29. ______ bonds are high-risk, high-yield bonds issued to finance leveraged buyouts, mergers, or troubled companies.
Conceptual
30. Changes in economic conditions cause interest rates and bond prices to vary over time.
a. True b. False
31. If the appropriate rate of interest on a bond is greater than its coupon rate, the market value of that bond will be above par value.
a. True b. False
32. A 20‑year, annual coupon bond with one year left to maturity has the same interest rate risk as a 10‑year, annual coupon bond with one year left to maturity. Both bonds are of equal risk, have the same coupon rate, and the prices of the two bonds are equal.
a. True b. False
33. There is a direct relationship between bond ratings and the required rate of return on bonds; that is, the higher the rating, the higher is the required rate of return.
a. True b. False
34. The “penalty” for having a low bond rating is less severe when the Security Market Line is relatively steep than when it is not so steep.
a. True b. False
35. Which of the following statements is false? In all of the statements, assume that “other things are held constant.”
a. Price sensitivity—that is, the change in price due to a given change in the required rate of return—increases as a bond’s maturity increases.
b. For a given bond of any maturity, a given percentage point increase in the going interest rate (rd) causes a larger dollar capital loss than the capital gain stemming from an identical decrease in the interest rate.
c. For any given maturity, a given percentage point increase in the interest rate causes a smaller dollar capital loss than the capital gain stemming from an identical decrease in the interest rate.
e. A 20-year zero-coupon bond has less reinvestment rate risk than a 20-year coupon bond.
36. Which of the following statements is most correct?
a. Ignoring interest accrued between payment dates, if the required rate of return on a bond is less than its coupon interest rate, and rd remains below the coupon rate until maturity, then the market value of that bond will be below its par value until the bond matures, at which time its market value will equal its par value.
b. Assuming equal coupon rates, a 20-year original maturity bond with one year left to maturity has more interest rate risk than a 10-year original maturity bond with one year left to maturity.
c. Regardless of the size of the coupon payment, the price of a bond moves in the same direction as interest rates; for example, if interest rates rise, bond prices also rise.
d. For bonds, price sensitivity to a given change in interest rates generally increases as years remaining to maturity increases.
e. Because short-term interest rates are much more volatile than long-term rates, you would, in the real world, be subject to more interest rate risk if you purchased a 30-day bond than if you bought a 30-year bond.
37. Which of the following statements is most correct?
a. Bonds C and Z both have a $1,000 par value and 10 years to maturity. They have the same default risk, and they both have an effective annual rate (EAR) = 8%. If Bond C has a 15 percent annual coupon and Bond Z a zero coupon (paying just $1,000 at maturity), then Bond Z will be exposed to more interest rate risk, which is defined as the percentage loss of value in response to a given increase in the going interest rate.
b. If the words “interest rate risk” were replaced by the words “reinvestment rate risk” in Statement a, then the statement would be true.
c. The interest rate paid by the state of Florida on its debt would be lower, other things held constant, if interest on the debt were not exempt from federal income taxes.
d. Given the conditions in Statement a, we can be sure that Bond Z would have the higher price.
e. Statements a, b, c, and d are all false.
38. If a company’s bonds are selling at a discount, then:
a. The YTM is the return investors probably expect to earn.
b. The YTC is probably the expected return.
c. Either a or b could be correct, depending on the yield curve.
d. The current yield will exceed the expected rate of return.
e. The after-tax cost of debt to the company will have to be less than the coupon rate on the bonds.
SELF-TEST PROBLEMS
1. Delta Corporation has a bond issue outstanding with an annual coupon rate of 7 percent and 4 years remaining until maturity. The par value of the bond is $1,000. Determine the current value of the bond if present market conditions justify a 14 percent required rate of return. The bond pays interest annually.
a. $1,126.42 b. $1,000.00 c. $796.06 d. $791.00 e. $536.42
2. Refer to Self-Test Problem 1. Suppose the bond had a semiannual coupon. Now what would be its current value?
a. $1,126.42 b. $1,000.00 c. $796.06 d. $791.00 e. $536.42
3. Refer to Self-Test Problem 1. Assume an annual coupon but 20 years remaining to maturity. What is the current value under these conditions?
a. $1,126.42 b. $1,000.00 c. $796.06 d. $791.00 e. $536.42
4. Refer to Self-Test Problem 3. What is the bond’s current yield?
a. 12.20% b. 13.05% c. 13.75% d. 14.00% e. 14.50%
5. Acme Products has a bond issue outstanding with 8 years remaining to maturity, a coupon rate of 10 percent with interest paid annually, and a par value of $1,000. If the current market price of the bond issue is $814.45, what is the yield to maturity, rd?
a. 12% b. 13% c. 14% d. 15% e. 16%
6. You have just been offered a bond for $863.73. The coupon rate is 8 percent, payable annually, and interest rates on new issues with the same degree of risk are 10 percent. You want to know how many more interest payments you will receive, but the party selling the bond cannot remember. If the par value is $1,000, how many interest payments remain?
a. 10 b. 11 c. 12 d. 13 e. 14
7. Bird Corporation’s 12 percent coupon rate, semiannual payment, $1,000 par value bonds which mature in 20 years are callable at a price of $1,100 five years from now. The bonds sell at a price of $1,300, and the yield curve is flat. Assuming that interest rates in the economy are expected to remain at their current level, what is the best estimate of Bird’s nominal interest rate on the new bonds? (Hint: You will need a financial calculator to work this problem.)
a. 8.46% b. 6.16% c. 9.28% d. 6.58% e. 8.76%
8. The Graf Company needs to finance some new R&D programs, so it will sell new bonds for this purpose. Graf’s currently outstanding bonds have a $1,000 par value, a 10 percent coupon rate, and pay interest semiannually. The outstanding bonds have 25 years remaining to maturity, are callable after 5 years at a price of $1,090, and currently sell at a price of $700. The yield curve is expected to remain flat. On the basis of these data, what is the best estimate of Graf’s nominal interest rate on the new bonds it plans to sell? (Hint: You will need a financial calculator to work this problem.)
a. 21.10% b. 14.48% c. 15.67% d. 16.25% e. 18.29%
9. Suppose Hadden Inc. is negotiating with an insurance company to sell a bond issue. Each bond has a par value of $1,000, it would pay 10 percent per year in quarterly payments of $25 per quarter for 10 years, and then it would pay 12 percent per year ($30 per quarter) for the next 10 years (Years 11-20). The $1,000 principal would be returned at the end of 20 years. The insurance company’s alternative investment is in a 20-year mortgage which has a nominal rate of 14 percent and which provides monthly payments. If the mortgage and the bond issue are equally risky, how much should the insurance company be willing to pay Hadden for each bond? (Hint: You will need a financial calculator to work this problem.)
a. $750.78 b. $781.50 c. $804.65 d. $710.49 e. $840.97
ANSWERS TO SELF-TEST QUESTIONS
1. bond
2. Municipal; interest
3. par; 1,000
4. coupon payment; par value
5. maturity date
6. floating rate; indexed
7. zero coupon
8. indenture
9. call; open market
10. call premium; par
11. present value
12. market price; par value
13. opposite
14. yield to maturity
15. coupon payment; interest rate; years
16. mortgage
17. Treasury
18. Income
19. indexed; purchasing power
20. original issue discount
21. seasoned issue
22. current yield
23. deferred call; call protection
24. higher
25. Warrants
26. Event
27. maturity risk premium
28. trustee
29. Junk
30. a. For example, if inflation increases, the interest rate (or required return) will increase, resulting in a decline in bond price.
31. b. It will sell at a discount.
32. a. Both bonds are valued as 1‑year bonds regardless of their original issue dates, and since they are of equal risk and have the same coupon rate, their prices must be equal.
33. b. The relationship is inverse. The higher the rating, the lower is the default risk and hence the lower is the required rate of return. Aaa/AAA is the highest rating, and as we go down the alphabet, the ratings are lower.
34. b. A steeper SML implies a higher risk premium on risky securities and thus a greater “penalty” on lower‑rated bonds.
35. b. Statements a, d, and e are all true. To determine which of the remaining statements is false, it is best to use an example. Assume you have a 10-year, 10 percent annual coupon bond which sold at par. If interest rates increase to 13 percent, the value of the bond decreases to $837.21, while if interest rates decrease to 7 percent, the value of the bond increases to $1,210.71. Thus, the capital gain is greater than the capital loss and statement b is false.
36. d. Statement a is false because the bond would have a premium and thus sell above par value. Statement b is false because both bonds would have the same interest rate risk because they both have one year left to maturity. Statement c is false because the price of a bond moves in the opposite direction as interest rates. Statement e is false because the 30-year bond would have more interest rate risk than the 30-day bond. Statement d is correct. As years to maturity increase for a bond, the number of discount periods used in finding the current bond value also increases. Therefore, bonds with longer maturities will have more price sensitivity to a given change in interest rates.
37. a. Statement a is correct. Bond C has a high coupon (hence its name), so bondholders get cash flows right away. Bond Z has a zero coupon, so its holders will get no cash flows until the bond matures. Since all of the cash flows on Z come at the end, a given increase in the interest rate will cause this bond’s value to fall sharply relative to the decline in value of the coupon bond.
You could also use the data in the problem to find the value of the two bonds at two different interest rates, and then calculate the percentage change. For example, at rd = 15%, VC = $1,000 and VZ = $247.18. At rd = 20%, VC = $790.38 and Vz = $161.51. Therefore, Bond Z declines in value by 34.66 percent, while Bond C declines by only 20.96 percent. Note that Bond Z is exposed to less reinvestment rate risk than Bond C.
38. a. When bonds sell at a discount, the going interest rate (rd) is above the coupon rate. If a company called the old discount bonds and replaced them with new bonds, the new coupon would be above the old coupon. This would increase a firm’s interest cost; hence, the company would not call the discount bonds. Therefore, the YTM would be the expected rate of return. The shape of the yield curve would have no effect in the situation described in this question, but if the bonds had been selling at a premium, making the YTC the relevant yield, then the yield curve in a sense would have an effect. The YTC would be below the cost if the company were to sell new long-term bonds, if the yield curve were steeply upward sloping. Statement d is false because the expected rate of return would include a current yield component and a capital gains component (because the bond’s price will rise from its current discounted price to par as maturity approaches). Therefore, the current yield will not exceed the expected rate of return. The after-tax cost of debt is the expected rate adjusted for taxes, rd(1 - T). Because the bonds are selling at a discount, the coupon rate could be quite low, even zero, so we know that statement e is false. Therefore, statement a is correct.
SOLUTIONS TO SELF-TEST PROBLEMS
1. c. VB = INT(PVIFArd,N) + M(PVIFrd,N)
= $70(PVIFA14%,4) + $1,000(PVIF14%,4)
= $70 [(1-1/1.144)/0.14] + $1000 (1/1.144)
= $70(2.9137) + $1,000(0.5921) = $796.06.
Calculator solution: Input N = 4, I = 14, PMT = 70, FV = 1000, and solve for
PV = -$796.04.
2. d. VB = (INT/2)(PVIFArd/2,2N) + M(PVIFrd/2,2N)
= $35(PVIFA7%,8) + $1,000(PVIF7%,8)
= $35 [(1-1/1.078)/0.07] + $1000 (1/1.078)
= $35(5.9713) + $1,000(0.5820) = $791.00.
Calculator solution: Input N = 8, I = 7, PMT = 35, FV = 1000, and solve for
PV = -$791.00.
3. e. VB = INT(PVIFArd,N) + M(PVIFrd,N)
= $70(PVIFA14%,20) + $1,000(PVIF14%,20)
= $70 [(1-1/1.1420)/0.14] + $1000 (1/1.1420)
= $70(6.6231) + $1,000(0.0728) = $536.42.
Calculator solution: Input N = 20, I = 14, PMT = 70, FV = 1000, and solve for
PV = -$536.38.
4. b. From Self-Test Problem 3, we know that the current price of the bond is $536.38. Therefore, the current yield =
=
= 13.05%.
5. c. VB = INT(PVIFArd,N) + M(PVIFrd,N)
$814.45 = $100(PVIFArd,8) + $1,000(PVIFrd,8).
$814.45 = $100 [(1-1/(1+rd)8)/rd] + $1000 (1/(1+rd)8)
Now use trial and error techniques. Try I = rd = 12%:
$814.45 = $100(4.9676) + $1,000(0.4039) = $900.66.
Since $814.45 < $900.66, the yield to maturity is not 12 percent. The calculated value is too large. Therefore, increase the value of I to 14 percent to lower the calculated value: $814.45 = $100(4.6389) + $1,000(0.3506) = $814.49. This is close enough to conclude that rd = yield to maturity = 14%.
Calculator solution: Input N = 8, PV = -814.45, PMT = 100, FV = 1000, and solve for I = rd = 14.00%.
6. c. VB = INT(PVIFArd,N) + M(PVIFrd,N)
$863.73 = $80(PVIFA10%,N) + $1,000(PVIF10%,N)
$863.73 = $80 [(1-1/(1+0.10)N)/0.10] + $1000 (1/(1+0.10)N)
Now use trial and error to find the value of N for which the equality holds. For N = 12, $80(6.8137) + $1,000(0.3186) = $863.70. Or using a financial calculator, input I = 10, PV = -863.73, PMT = 80, FV = 1000, and solve for N = 12.
7. d. The bond is selling at a large premium, which means that its coupon rate is much higher than the going rate of interest. Therefore, the bond is likely to be called—it is more likely to be called than to remain outstanding until it matures. Thus, it will probably provide a return equal to the YTC rather than the YTM. So, there is no point in calculating the YTM; just calculate the YTC. Enter these values: N = 10, , PMT = 60, and FV = 1100. The periodic rate is 3.29 percent, so the nominal YTC is 2(3.29%) = 6.58%. This would be close to the going rate, and it is about what Bird would have to pay on new bonds.
8. b. Investors would expect to earn either the YTM or the YTC, and the expected return on the old bonds is the cost Graf would have to pay in order to sell new bonds.
YTM: Enter N = 2(25) = 50; PV = -700; PMT = 100/2 = 50; and FV = 1000. Press I to get I = rd/2 = 7.24%. Multiply 7.24%(2) = 14.48% to get the YTM.
YTC: Enter N = 2(5) = 10, PV = -700, PMT = 50, FV = 1090, and then press I to get Multiply by 2 to get YTC = 21.10%.
Would investors expect the company to call the bonds? Graf currently pays 10 percent on its debt (the coupon rate). New debt would cost at least 14.48 percent. Because coupon rate, it would be stupid for the company to call, so investors would not expect a call. Therefore, they would expect to earn 14.48 percent on the bonds. This is rd, so 14.48 percent is the rate Graf would probably have to pay on new bonds.
1. You could enter the time line values into the cash flow register, but one element is missing: the interest rate. Once we have the interest rate, we could press the NPV key to get the value of the bond.
2. We need a periodic interest rate, and it needs to be a quarterly rate, found as the annual nominal rate divided by 4: rPer = rNom/4. So, we need to find rNom so that we can find rPer.
3. The insurance company will insist on earning at least the same effective annual rate on the bond issue as it can earn on the mortgage. The mortgage pays 14 percent monthly, which is equivalent to an EAR = 14.93%. Using a financial calculator, enter NOM% = 14, P/YR = 12, and press EFF% to obtain 14.93%. So, the bond issue will have to have a rNom, with quarterly payments, which translates into an EAR of 14.93 percent.
4. EAR = 14.93% is equivalent to a quarterly nominal rate of 14.16 percent; that is, a nominal rate of 14.16 percent with quarterly compounding has an EAR of 14.93 percent. You can find this by entering EFF% = 14.93, P/YR = 4, and pressing the NOM% key to get NOM% = 14.16%. If this nominal rate is set on the bond issue, the insurance company will earn the same effective rate as it can get on the mortgage. (Don’t forget to set your calculator back to P/YR = 1.)
5. The periodic rate for a 14.16 percent nominal rate, with quarterly compounding, is 14.16%/4 = 3.54%. This 3.54% is the rate to use in the time line calculations.
With an HP-10B calculator, enter the following data:
CF0 = 0, CFj = 25; Nj = 40; CFj = 30; Nj = 39; CFj = 1030; I = 3.54.
Solve for NPV = $750.78 = Value of each bond.
With an HP-17B calculator, enter the following data:
Flow(0) = 0 Input; Flow(1) = 25 Input; # Times = 40 Input; Flow(2) = 30 Input; Input; Flow(3) = 1030 Input; # Times = 1 Input; Exit; Calc; I = 3.54.
Solve for NPV = $750.78 = Value of each bond.
If each bond is priced at $750.78, the insurance company will earn the same effective rate of return on the bond issue as on the mortgage.
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